# When will the Riksdag approve a new Prime Minister?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "When will the Riksdag approve a new Prime Minister?". Before Jul 1, 2027 leads at 95%. Next is Before Feb 1, 2027 at 81.5%. $1K has traded across 5 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T03:03:40Z (10 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jul 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 95% | 95% |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 81.5% | 81.5% |
| Before Dec 19, 2026 | 56% | 56% |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 48% | 48% |
| Before Nov 13, 2026 | 2% | 2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [The Riksdag](https://www.riksdagen.se/en/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/when-will-the-riksdag-approve-a-new-prime-minister
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxswedenpmvote?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/when-will-the-riksdag-approve-a-new-prime-minister

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.