# When will the U.S. authorize a government AI kill switch?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "When will the U.S. authorize a government AI kill switch?". Before Jan 1, 2028 leads at 29%. Next is Before Jul 1, 2027 at 19%. $1K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:05:00Z (58 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2028
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 29% | 29% |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 19% | 19% |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 3.5% | 3.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Library of Congress](https://www.congress.gov/), [The White House](https://www.whitehouse.gov/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/when-will-the-us-authorize-a-government-ai-kill-switch
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgovaikillswitch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/when-will-the-us-authorize-a-government-ai-kill-switch

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.