# When will the US SPR level be above 300 million barrels?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "When will the US SPR level be above 300 million barrels?". Before Jan 1, 2028 leads at 56%. Next is Before Oct 1, 2027 at 41%. $2K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-12T20:03:46Z (24 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2028
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 56% | 56% |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | 41% | 41% |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 18% | 18% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [U.S. Energy Information Administration](https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/when-will-the-us-spr-level-be-above-300-million-barrels
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsprlvldate?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/when-will-the-us-spr-level-be-above-300-million-barrels

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.