# Where will it rain on Nov 13, 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Where will it rain on Nov 13, 2026?". Boston leads at 99%. Next is Columbus at 99%. $525K has traded across 35 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 14, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T21:00:31Z (9 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 14, 2026
- Volume traded: $525K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: climate

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Boston | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Columbus | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Lexington | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| New York City | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Newark | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Providence | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Seattle | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Trenton | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Philadelphia, PA | 99% | 98.9% | 99% | 0.1 pts |
| Los Angeles, CA | 98.6% | 97.5% | 99% | 1.5 pts |
| San Francisco, CA | 98.6% | 97.5% | 99% | 1.5 pts |
| Miami, FL | 87.9% | 54.7% | 99% | 44.3 pts |
| Albuquerque | 71% | — | 71% | not on both |
| Indianapolis | 36% | — | 36% | not on both |
| Phoenix, AZ | 35.5% | 35.5% | — | not on both |
| Las Vegas | 23% | — | 23% | not on both |
| Pittsburgh | 10% | — | 10% | not on both |
| Detroit | 8% | — | 8% | not on both |
| Washington, DC | 7.1% | 25.4% | 1% | 24.4 pts |
| Chicago | 4% | — | 4% | not on both |
| West Palm Beach | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Austin | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| College Station | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Denver | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Milwaukee | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Minneapolis | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Oklahoma City | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| San Antonio | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Springfield | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| St. Louis | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Tampa | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Atlanta, GA | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1% | 0.5 pts |
| New Orleans, LA | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1% | 0.5 pts |
| Houston, TX | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1% | 0.5 pts |
| Dallas, TX | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1% | 0.5 pts |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [forecast.weather.gov](https://forecast.weather.gov/product_sites.php?site=NWS&product=CLI).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [The Weather Company](https://weather.com/kalshi).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/where-will-it-rain-on-nov-13-2026
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-it-rain-on-november-13-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrain?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/where-will-it-rain-on-nov-13-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.