# Where will it rain on Nov 5, 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Where will it rain on Nov 5, 2026?". Chicago leads at 99%. Next is Miami at 99%. $981K has traded across 35 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 6, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-06T00:03:03Z (3 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 6, 2026
- Volume traded: $981K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: climate

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Chicago | 99% | 99% |
| Miami | 99% | 99% |
| Milwaukee | 99% | 99% |
| Minneapolis | 99% | 99% |
| New York City | 99% | 99% |
| Newark | 99% | 99% |
| Oklahoma City | 99% | 99% |
| Philadelphia | 99% | 99% |
| Pittsburgh | 99% | 99% |
| Trenton | 99% | 99% |
| Washington DC | 99% | 99% |
| Providence | 20% | 20% |
| Detroit | 14% | 14% |
| Seattle | 6% | 6% |
| Indianapolis | 5% | 5% |
| St. Louis | 5% | 5% |
| Boston | 4% | 4% |
| Atlanta | 3% | 3% |
| Springfield | 3% | 3% |
| Tampa | 3% | 3% |
| Dallas | 2% | 2% |
| San Antonio | 2% | 2% |
| West Palm Beach | 2% | 2% |
| Albuquerque | 1% | 1% |
| Austin | 1% | 1% |
| College Station | 1% | 1% |
| Columbus | 1% | 1% |
| Denver | 1% | 1% |
| Houston | 1% | 1% |
| Las Vegas | 1% | 1% |
| Lexington | 1% | 1% |
| Los Angeles | 1% | 1% |
| New Orleans | 1% | 1% |
| Phoenix | 1% | 1% |
| San Francisco | 1% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [The Weather Company](https://weather.com/kalshi).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/where-will-it-rain-on-nov-5-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrain?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/where-will-it-rain-on-nov-5-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.