# Where will it rain on Nov 8, 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Where will it rain on Nov 8, 2026?". Austin leads at 99%. Next is Boston at 99%. $412K has traded across 34 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 9, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T00:41:13Z (8 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 9, 2026
- Volume traded: $412K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: climate

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Austin | 99% | 99% |
| Boston | 99% | 99% |
| College Station | 99% | 99% |
| Providence | 99% | 99% |
| San Antonio | 99% | 99% |
| Seattle | 99% | 99% |
| Miami | 12% | 12% |
| Houston | 10% | 10% |
| Denver | 2% | 2% |
| Albuquerque | 1% | 1% |
| Atlanta | 1% | 1% |
| Chicago | 1% | 1% |
| Columbus | 1% | 1% |
| Dallas | 1% | 1% |
| Detroit | 1% | 1% |
| Indianapolis | 1% | 1% |
| Las Vegas | 1% | 1% |
| Lexington | 1% | 1% |
| Milwaukee | 1% | 1% |
| Minneapolis | 1% | 1% |
| New Orleans | 1% | 1% |
| New York City | 1% | 1% |
| Newark | 1% | 1% |
| Oklahoma City | 1% | 1% |
| Philadelphia | 1% | 1% |
| Pittsburgh | 1% | 1% |
| San Francisco | 1% | 1% |
| Springfield | 1% | 1% |
| St. Louis | 1% | 1% |
| Tampa | 1% | 1% |
| Trenton | 1% | 1% |
| Washington DC | 1% | 1% |
| West Palm Beach | 1% | 1% |
| Los Angeles | 0.5% | 0.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [The Weather Company](https://weather.com/kalshi).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/where-will-it-rain-on-nov-8-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrain?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/where-will-it-rain-on-nov-8-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.