# Which ballot measures will pass in Hawaii?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Which ballot measures will pass in Hawaii?". Authorize RISE Bonds Amendment leads at 99%. Next is Increase Time for Senate to Act on Judicial Appointments Amendment at 99%. $2K has traded across 2 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 2, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:09:00Z (2 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 2, 2027
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Authorize RISE Bonds Amendment | 99% | 99% |
| Increase Time for Senate to Act on Judicial Appointments Amendment | 99% | 99% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Hawaii Office of Elections](https://elections.hawaii.gov).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/which-ballot-measures-will-pass-in-hawaii
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstateballotmeasure?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/which-ballot-measures-will-pass-in-hawaii

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.