# Which companies will Commerce add to the Entity List?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Which companies will Commerce add to the Entity List?". Megaspeed leads at 21%. Next is Speedmatrix at 16%. $2K has traded across 4 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-11T09:03:05Z (9 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2028
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Megaspeed | 21% | 21% |
| Speedmatrix | 16% | 16% |
| CXMT | 15.5% | 15.5% |
| DeepSeek | 11% | 11% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Bureau of Industry and Security, U.S. Department of Commerce](https://www.bis.gov/entity-list), [Federal Register](https://www.federalregister.gov/agencies/industry-and-security-bureau).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/which-companies-will-commerce-add-to-the-entity-list
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxentitylist?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/which-companies-will-commerce-add-to-the-entity-list

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.