# Which companies will run ads during the 2027 Big Game?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Which companies will run ads during the 2027 Big Game?". Amazon leads at 84.5%. Next is Anthropic at 82.5%. $6K has traded across 15 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 15, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-11T10:12:05Z (12 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Feb 15, 2027
- Volume traded: $6K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Amazon | 84.5% | 84.5% |
| Anthropic | 82.5% | 82.5% |
| Meta | 82.5% | 82.5% |
| OpenAI | 79.5% | 79.5% |
| Google | 73.5% | 73.5% |
| Perplexity | 57% | 57% |
| Apple | 55.5% | 55.5% |
| Coinbase | 55.5% | 55.5% |
| Robinhood | 55.5% | 55.5% |
| Microsoft | 52.5% | 52.5% |
| Nvidia | 52.5% | 52.5% |
| Kraken | 50.5% | 50.5% |
| SpaceX | 42% | 42% |
| Tesla | 15% | 15% |
| Crypto.com | 13% | 13% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed company/organization runs one or more advertisements during the national broadcast of Super Bowl LXI on ABC, scheduled for February 14, 2027, at 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If an advertisement is co-funded or co-branded by multiple companies, all listed companies involved will count as having advertised.

Any brand which is at least 50% owned by a listed company will count for the parent company, such as Beats for Apple.

If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify.

The resolution source for this market is the official broadcast of Super Bowl LXI, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/which-companies-will-run-ads-during-the-2027-big-game
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-run-ads-during-the-2027-big-game?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/which-companies-will-run-ads-during-the-2027-big-game

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.