# Which New York City restaurants lose Michelin stars in 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Which New York City restaurants lose Michelin stars in 2026?". Eleven Madison Park leads at 98%. Next is Daniel at 84%. $5K has traded across 6 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 14, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:15:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 14, 2026
- Volume traded: $5K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Eleven Madison Park | 98% | 98% |
| Daniel | 84% | 84% |
| Jean-Georges | 84% | 84% |
| Per Se | 25% | 25% |
| Masa | 15% | 15% |
| Le Bernardin | 2% | 2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Michelin](https://guide.michelin.com/us/en).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/which-new-york-city-restaurants-lose-michelin-stars-in-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmichelinlose?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/which-new-york-city-restaurants-lose-michelin-stars-in-2026

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.