# Which New York City restaurants move from one Michelin star to two or more in 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Which New York City restaurants move from one Michelin star to two or more in 2026?". Torrisi leads at 70%. Next is Semma at 50%. $3K has traded across 6 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 14, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T00:41:00Z (2 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 14, 2026
- Volume traded: $3K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Torrisi | 70% | 70% |
| Semma | 50% | 50% |
| The Four Horsemen | 50% | 50% |
| Frevo | 17% | 17% |
| Le Coucou | 12% | 12% |
| Yoshino | 2% | 2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Michelin](https://guide.michelin.com/us/en).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/which-new-york-city-restaurants-move-from-one-michelin-star-to-two-or-more-in-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmichelinearn?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/which-new-york-city-restaurants-move-from-one-michelin-star-to-two-or-more-in-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.