# Which Representatives will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Which Representatives will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth?". Thomas Massie leads at 92%. Next is Don Bacon at 72%. $1K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T20:43:20Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Thomas Massie | 92% | 92% |
| Don Bacon | 72% | 72% |
| Warren Davidson | 56.5% | 56.5% |
| Brian Fitzpatrick | 52.5% | 52.5% |
| Jared Golden | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| Henry Cuellar | 44.5% | 44.5% |
| Nancy Mace | 25% | 25% |
| Tom Barrett | 19% | 19% |
| French Hill | 15% | 15% |
| Mariannette Miller-Meeks | 15% | 15% |
| Zach Nunn | 15% | 15% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives](https://clerk.house.gov/Votes), [U.S. Congress](https://www.congress.gov).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/which-representatives-will-vote-to-impeach-pete-hegseth
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhvotehegsethimpeach?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/which-representatives-will-vote-to-impeach-pete-hegseth

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.