# Which senators will back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Which senators will back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader?". John Fetterman leads at 90%. Next is Kirsten Gillibrand at 90%. $8K has traded across 22 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T18:10:40Z (12 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $8K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| John Fetterman | 90% | 90% |
| Kirsten Gillibrand | 90% | 90% |
| Mark Kelly | 88% | 88% |
| Ruben Gallego | 82% | 82% |
| Chris Murphy | 80% | 80% |
| Cory Booker | 80% | 80% |
| Richard Blumenthal | 77% | 77% |
| Andy Kim | 75% | 75% |
| Martin Heinrich | 68% | 68% |
| Maggie Hassan | 67% | 67% |
| Mark Warner | 61% | 61% |
| Jon Ossoff | 60% | 60% |
| Raphael Warnock | 55% | 55% |
| Elizabeth Warren | 48% | 48% |
| James Talarico | 45% | 45% |
| Scott Colom | 28% | 28% |
| Mary Peltola | 25% | 25% |
| Juliana Stratton | 13% | 13% |
| Abdul El-Sayed | 5% | 5% |
| Elissa Slotkin | 5% | 5% |
| Chris Van Hollen | 4% | 4% |
| Bernie Sanders | 3% | 3% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [The New York Times](https://www.nytimes.com/), [Associated Press](https://apnews.com/), [Bloomberg News](https://www.bloomberg.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/which-senators-will-back-schumer-for-senate-democratic-leader
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxschumerbackers?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/which-senators-will-back-schumer-for-senate-democratic-leader

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.