# Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?". Abdul El-Sayed leads at 99%. Next is Elizabeth Warren at 97%. $1K has traded across 25 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T19:48:31Z (13 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Abdul El-Sayed | 99% | 99% |
| Elizabeth Warren | 97% | 97% |
| Annie Andrews | 69.5% | 69.5% |
| Troy Jackson | 69.5% | 69.5% |
| Peggy Flanagan | 60% | 60% |
| Adam Hamilton | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| Bernie Sanders | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| Cory Booker | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| James Talarico | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| John Fetterman | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| Juliana Stratton | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| Kirsten Gillibrand | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| Maggie Hassan | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| Mark Kelly | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| Mark Warner | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| Martin Heinrich | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| Raphael Warnock | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| Richard Blumenthal | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| Ruben Gallego | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| Scott Colom | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| Elissa Slotkin | 33% | 33% |
| Jon Ossoff | 20% | 20% |
| Mary Peltola | 16% | 16% |
| Andy Kim | 11% | 11% |
| Chris Murphy | 11% | 11% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [The New York Times](https://www.nytimes.com/), [Associated Press](https://apnews.com/), [Bloomberg News](https://www.bloomberg.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.