# Which states will Trump visit in Nov 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Which states will Trump visit in Nov 2026?". New York leads at 40%. Next is Louisiana at 30.5%. $1.0M has traded across 45 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:10:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 1, 2026
- Volume traded: $1.0M
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| New York | 40% | — | 40% | not on both |
| Louisiana | 30.5% | 30.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan | 24% | — | 24% | not on both |
| Missouri | 21.5% | 21.5% | — | not on both |
| Indiana | 18.5% | 18.5% | — | not on both |
| Colorado | 18% | 18% | — | not on both |
| Pennsylvania | 18% | — | 18% | not on both |
| Texas | 18% | — | 18% | not on both |
| West Virginia | 17.5% | 17.5% | — | not on both |
| Georgia | 16% | — | 16% | not on both |
| Wyoming | 16% | 16% | — | not on both |
| Arkansas | 15.5% | 15.5% | — | not on both |
| Alaska | 15% | — | 15% | not on both |
| Rhode Island | 15% | 15% | — | not on both |
| Massachusetts | 14% | 14% | — | not on both |
| Idaho | 13% | 13% | — | not on both |
| Utah | 12.5% | 12.5% | — | not on both |
| Portugal | 11.7% | 11.7% | — | not on both |
| Germany | 11.5% | 11.5% | — | not on both |
| Oregon | 10.1% | 10.1% | — | not on both |
| Minnesota | 10% | 10% | — | not on both |
| Washington | 10% | 10% | — | not on both |
| Hawaii | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8% | 2.5 pts |
| New Hampshire | 9.5% | 9.5% | — | not on both |
| South Korea | 9% | 9% | — | not on both |
| Saudi Arabia | 8.5% | 8.5% | — | not on both |
| Maine | 8% | 8% | — | not on both |
| New Mexico | 7.5% | 7.5% | — | not on both |
| Israel | 7% | 7% | — | not on both |
| Italy | 7% | 7% | — | not on both |
| Japan | 7% | 7% | — | not on both |
| Vermont | 6.5% | 6.5% | — | not on both |
| Oman | 6.2% | 6.2% | — | not on both |
| India | 6% | 6% | — | not on both |
| Mexico | 6% | 6% | — | not on both |
| North Korea | 5.5% | 5.5% | — | not on both |
| Venezuela | 5.5% | 5.5% | — | not on both |
| Belarus | 4.6% | 4.6% | — | not on both |
| Syria | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| Canada | 4.3% | 4.3% | — | not on both |

Showing the top 40 of 45 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [twitter.com](https://twitter.com/POTUS).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [official government sources of the state](https://www.prnewswire.com/), [official representatives or offices of Donald Trump](https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump), [The New York Times](https://www.nytimes.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/which-states-will-trump-visit-in-nov-2026
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-states-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpstatesmon?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/which-states-will-trump-visit-in-nov-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.