# Who will appear in a 2027 Big Game commercial?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Who will appear in a 2027 Big Game commercial?". Ben Affleck leads at 73.5%. Next is Peyton Manning at 72.5%. $2K has traded across 15 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 15, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T03:42:40Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Feb 15, 2027
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Ben Affleck | 73.5% | 73.5% |
| Peyton Manning | 72.5% | 72.5% |
| Tom Brady | 69% | 69% |
| Matthew McConaughey | 61.5% | 61.5% |
| Kevin Hart | 50.5% | 50.5% |
| Snoop Dogg | 42.5% | 42.5% |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 41.5% | 41.5% |
| MrBeast | 36% | 36% |
| Jennifer Aniston | 30.5% | 30.5% |
| Ryan Reynolds | 28.5% | 28.5% |
| Travis Kelce | 27% | 27% |
| Beyoncé | 17.5% | 17.5% |
| Shohei Ohtani | 17.5% | 17.5% |
| Taylor Swift | 8% | 8% |
| Elon Musk | 6% | 6% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual appears in an advertisement during the national broadcast of Super Bowl LXI on ABC, scheduled for February 14, 2027, at 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify.

The listed individual must appear in video form; voice-only appearances will not independently qualify. Archival footage, lookalikes, and AI-generated or digitally created likenesses will not count.

The resolution source for this market is the National Broadcast of Super Bowl LXI on ABC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/who-will-appear-in-a-2027-big-game-commercial
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-appear-in-a-2027-big-game-commercial?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/who-will-appear-in-a-2027-big-game-commercial

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.