# Who will be Chair of Senate Commerce?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Who will be Chair of Senate Commerce?". Maria Cantwell leads at 95.5%. Next is Brian Schatz at 2.5%. $10K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T23:47:31Z (13 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Feb 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $10K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Maria Cantwell | 95.5% | 99% |
| Brian Schatz | 2.5% | 2.6% |
| Ed Markey | 2% | 2.1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [United States Senate](https://www.commerce.senate.gov/about/members/), [The New York Times](https://www.nytimes.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/who-will-be-chair-of-senate-commerce
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscommercechair?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/who-will-be-chair-of-senate-commerce

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.