# Who will be elected Brazil's Senate President?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Who will be elected Brazil's Senate President?". Davi Alcolumbre leads at 64.6%. Next is Rogério Marinho at 19.8%. $1K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 1, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T05:39:41Z (12 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Feb 1, 2028
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Davi Alcolumbre | 64.6% | 62% |
| Rogério Marinho | 19.8% | 19% |
| Tereza Cristina | 15.6% | 15% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Senado Federal](https://www12.senado.leg.br/hpsenado).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/who-will-be-elected-brazils-senate-president
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrsenatepres?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/who-will-be-elected-brazils-senate-president

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.