# Who will be House Republican Whip in the 120th Congress?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Who will be House Republican Whip in the 120th Congress?". Tom Emmer leads at 81.4%. Next is August Pfluger at 18.6%. $6K has traded across 2 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 30, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-06T17:48:03Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 30, 2027
- Volume traded: $6K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Tom Emmer | 81.4% | 79% |
| August Pfluger | 18.6% | 18% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [House Republican Conference](https://www.gop.gov/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/who-will-be-house-republican-whip-in-the-120th-congress
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopwhip120?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/who-will-be-house-republican-whip-in-the-120th-congress

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.