# Who will be the next CEO of NVIDIA?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Who will be the next CEO of NVIDIA?". Ian Buck leads at 26.1%. Next is Colette Kress at 13.1%. $3.2M has traded across 36 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2029.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T03:16:43Z (12 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2029
- Volume traded: $3.2M
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Ian Buck | 26.1% | 29.5% | 32% | 2.5 pts |
| Colette Kress | 13.1% | 14.8% | 16% | 1.3 pts |
| Rene Haas | 10.1% | 12.5% | 12% | 0.5 pts |
| Johny Srouji | 9.1% | 13.6% | 10% | 3.6 pts |
| Jensen Huang (No Change) | 4.5% | 5.3% | — | not on both |
| Jensen Huang | 4.2% | — | 5% | not on both |
| Tim Cook | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3% | 1.5 pts |
| Lisa Su | 2.5% | 3% | 3% | 0.0 pts |
| Nikesh Arora | 2.5% | 0.2% | 4% | 3.9 pts |
| Jay Puri | 2% | 2.9% | 2% | 0.9 pts |
| Michael Kagan | 1.9% | 3% | 2% | 1.0 pts |
| Nick Parker | 1.3% | 0.3% | 2% | 1.8 pts |
| Pat Gelsinger | 1.3% | 0.4% | 2% | 1.7 pts |
| Eric Schmidt | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1% | 1.1 pts |
| Nico Caprez | 1% | 1.4% | 1% | 0.4 pts |
| Bill Dally | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1% | 0.2 pts |
| Chris Malachowsky | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1% | 0.3 pts |
| Debora Shoquist | 0.9% | 1% | 1% | 0.0 pts |
| Madison Huang | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1% | 0.3 pts |
| Thomas Kurian | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1% | 0.1 pts |
| Jonah Alben | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1% | 0.4 pts |
| Bret Taylor | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Bryan Catanzaro | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Cristiano Amon | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Harvey C. Jones | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Jeff Fisher | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Lip-Bu Tan | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Manuvir Das | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Matt Murphy | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Satya Nadella | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Stephen Neal | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Hock Tan | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1% | 0.7 pts |
| Matt Garman | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1% | 0.7 pts |
| Spencer Huang | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1% | 0.5 pts |
| Curtis Priem | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1% | 0.5 pts |
| Emmett Shear | 0.4% | — | 0.5% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [ABC](https://abcnews.go.com/), [The Information](https://www.theinformation.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/who-will-be-the-next-ceo-of-nvidia
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-ceo-of-nvidia?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnvdaceo?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/who-will-be-the-next-ceo-of-nvidia

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.