# Who will be the next President of the Brazilian Senate?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Who will be the next President of the Brazilian Senate?". Davi Alcolumbre leads at 50.7%. Next is Tereza Cristina at 23.1%. $2K has traded across 5 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Mar 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-11T16:14:05Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Mar 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Davi Alcolumbre | 50.7% | 56% |
| Tereza Cristina | 23.1% | 25.5% |
| Rogério Marinho | 18.1% | 20% |
| No president by Feb 28 | 4.7% | 5.3% |
| Renan Calheiros | 3.4% | 3.8% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

Following the Brazilian general election held on October 4, 2026, the Federal Senate of Brazil is set to hold an internal election for the position of President of the Brazilian Senate. This market will resolve according to the name of the candidate that becomes President of the Brazilian Senate as a result of this election. 

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Presidents appointed before the election will not count.

If this election does not take place or the results of this election are not known by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No president by Feb 28".

This market will resolve based on official information from the Federal Senate of Brazil or a consensus of credible reporting.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-the-brazilian-senate
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-the-brazilian-senate-20261106?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-the-brazilian-senate

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.