# Who will Raul Rosas Jr. fight next?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Who will Raul Rosas Jr. fight next?". Deiveson Figueiredo leads at 94%. Next is Aiemann Zahabi at 22.1%. $4K has traded across 19 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:12:00Z (2 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2028
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Deiveson Figueiredo | 94% | — | 94% | not on both |
| Aiemann Zahabi | 22.1% | 49.5% | 13% | 36.5 pts |
| Montel Jackson | 16% | 27% | 5% | 22.0 pts |
| David Martinez | 14% | — | 14% | not on both |
| Cory Sandhagen | 10% | — | 10% | not on both |
| Kyler Phillips | 5% | — | 5% | not on both |
| Marcus McGhee | 5% | — | 5% | not on both |
| Payton Talbott | 5% | — | 5% | not on both |
| Marlon Vera | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6% | 1.6 pts |
| Mario Bautista | 4% | — | 4% | not on both |
| Umar Nurmagomedov | 4% | — | 4% | not on both |
| Song Yadong | 3.5% | — | 3.5% | not on both |
| Rob Font | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| Sean O'Malley | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| Adrian Yanez | 2.5% | — | 2.5% | not on both |
| Bryce Mitchell | 2.5% | — | 2.5% | not on both |
| Charles Jourdain | 2.5% | — | 2.5% | not on both |
| Merab Dvalishvili | 2.5% | — | 2.5% | not on both |
| Ricky Simon | 2.5% | — | 2.5% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://espn.com), [the Governing League](https://www.ufc.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/who-will-raul-rosas-jr-fight-next
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-raul-rosas-jr-next-fight?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmmafightnext?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/who-will-raul-rosas-jr-fight-next

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.
