# Who will run for U.S. Senate in 2028?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Who will run for U.S. Senate in 2028?". Ben Wikler leads at 90%. Next is Tim Burchett at 75.5%. $4K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:04:00Z (3 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jul 1, 2028
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Ben Wikler | 90% | 90% |
| Tim Burchett | 75.5% | 75.5% |
| Mike Dunleavy | 51% | 51% |
| Rich McCormick | 36% | 36% |
| Jeff Jackson | 29.5% | 29.5% |
| Pat Grassley | 20% | 20% |
| Joe Lombardo | 19% | 19% |
| Bryan Steil | 17% | 17% |
| Ritchie Torres | 15.5% | 15.5% |
| Brian Kemp | 14% | 14% |
| Chris Sununu | 11% | 11% |
| Thomas Massie | 11% | 11% |
| Don Davis | 9.5% | 9.5% |
| Doug Ducey | 8% | 8% |
| Kari Lake | 8% | 8% |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | 7% | 7% |
| Letitia James | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| Lara Trump | 6% | 6% |
| Dan Bongino | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| Spencer Pratt | 5.5% | 5.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [The New York Times](https://www.nytimes.com/), [the Associated Press](https://apnews.com/), [Bloomberg News](https://www.bloomberg.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/who-will-run-for-us-senate-in-2028
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxussenrun?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/who-will-run-for-us-senate-in-2028

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.