# Who will Trump meet with by November 30?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Who will Trump meet with by November 30?". Dividend / Stimulus leads at 99%. Next is E15 at 99%. $478K has traded across 49 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:24:00Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 1, 2026
- Volume traded: $478K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Dividend / Stimulus | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| E15 | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Eli Lilly | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Fannie Mae / Freddie Mac | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Filibuster | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| UFC | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Xi Jinping | 94.8% | 94.8% | — | not on both |
| Bongbong Marcos | 93% | — | 93% | not on both |
| Zohran Mamdani | 92% | — | 92% | not on both |
| Aluminum | 90% | — | 90% | not on both |
| Vladimir Putin | 86.1% | 89.5% | 85% | 4.5 pts |
| Ceasefire | 86% | — | 86% | not on both |
| Rare Earth | 77% | — | 77% | not on both |
| Mark Carney | 70% | 70% | — | not on both |
| TrumpRx | 65% | — | 65% | not on both |
| Autism | 62% | — | 62% | not on both |
| Nvidia | 61% | — | 61% | not on both |
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 53.5% | 53.5% | — | not on both |
| Refinance / Refinanced / Refinancing | 53% | — | 53% | not on both |
| Ozempic / GLP-1 | 50% | — | 50% | not on both |
| Whistleblower | 45% | — | 45% | not on both |
| Mohammed bin Salman | 40.7% | 7% | 80% | 73.0 pts |
| Elon Musk | 33.5% | 33.5% | — | not on both |
| SMR / Small Modular Reactor | 33% | — | 33% | not on both |
| Stablecoin | 32% | — | 32% | not on both |
| Golden Dome | 31% | — | 31% | not on both |
| Peter Thiel | 28% | — | 28% | not on both |
| Dario Amodei | 24.5% | 24.5% | — | not on both |
| Manufactured Housing | 22% | — | 22% | not on both |
| Peptide | 19% | — | 19% | not on both |
| Gavin Newsom | 18% | — | 18% | not on both |
| Sam Altman | 16.5% | 16.5% | — | not on both |
| Abelardo de la Espriella | 15% | — | 15% | not on both |
| Andy Burnham | 13% | 13% | — | not on both |
| Tim Walz | 11% | — | 11% | not on both |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 9% | 9% | — | not on both |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | 8.4% | — | 8.4% | not on both |
| Kim Jong Un | 6.9% | 3.8% | 8% | 4.3 pts |
| Lai Ching-te | 6% | — | 6% | not on both |
| Javier Milei | 5.2% | 5.2% | — | not on both |

Showing the top 40 of 49 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ABC](https://abcnews.go.com/), [Fox News](https://www.foxnews.com/), [MSNBC](https://www.msnbc.com/).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/who-will-trump-meet-with-by-november-30
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-meet-with-by-november-30-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsaymonth?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/who-will-trump-meet-with-by-november-30

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.