# Who will Trump speak to by November 30?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Who will Trump speak to by November 30?". Germany / German leads at 99.5%. Next is Mexico / Mexican at 99.5%. $319K has traded across 128 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:12:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 1, 2026
- Volume traded: $319K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Germany / German | 99.5% | — | 99.5% | not on both |
| Mexico / Mexican | 99.5% | — | 99.5% | not on both |
| Saudi Arabia / Saudi Arabian | 99.5% | — | 99.5% | not on both |
| South Korea / South Korean | 99.5% | — | 99.5% | not on both |
| Afghanistan / Afghan | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Apple / AAPL | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Congo / Congolese | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Cuba / Cuban | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Denmark / Danish | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Dividend / Stimulus | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| E15 | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Eli Lilly | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Eli Lilly / LLY | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Fannie Mae / Freddie Mac | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Fox News | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| France / French | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| General Motors / GM | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Japan / Japanese | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Pfizer / PFE | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Poland / Polish | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Somalia / Somali | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| UFC | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| X / Twitter | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Colombia / Colombian | 98% | — | 98% | not on both |
| Egypt / Egyptian | 98% | — | 98% | not on both |
| Filibuster | 98% | — | 98% | not on both |
| North Korea / North Korean | 98% | — | 98% | not on both |
| Uber | 98% | — | 98% | not on both |
| Italy / Italian | 97% | — | 97% | not on both |
| Spain / Spanish | 97% | — | 97% | not on both |
| Xi Jinping | 95.7% | 95.7% | — | not on both |
| SpaceX / SPCX | 94% | — | 94% | not on both |
| Yemen / Yemeni | 94% | — | 94% | not on both |
| Mark Carney | 92.8% | 92.8% | — | not on both |
| Vladimir Putin | 92% | 92% | — | not on both |
| Hyundai / HYMTF | 91% | — | 91% | not on both |
| Zohran / Mamdani | 91% | — | 91% | not on both |
| Aluminum | 90% | — | 90% | not on both |
| India / Indian | 87.5% | — | 87.5% | not on both |
| United Kingdom / British | 87.5% | — | 87.5% | not on both |

Showing the top 40 of 128 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ABC](https://abcnews.go.com/), [Fox News](https://www.foxnews.com/), [MSNBC](https://www.msnbc.com/).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.

Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.

This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe.

If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/who-will-trump-speak-to-by-november-30
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-speak-to-by-november-30-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsaycountry?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/who-will-trump-speak-to-by-november-30

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.