# Who will win the 2027 Punjab Assembly election?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Who will win the 2027 Punjab Assembly election?". Aam Aadmi Party leads at 57%. Next is AAP at 51%. $8K has traded across 8 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 20, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-06T18:33:03Z (2 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Feb 20, 2028
- Volume traded: $8K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Aam Aadmi Party | 57% | — | 57% | not on both |
| AAP | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| INC | 31% | 31% | — | not on both |
| Indian National Congress | 31% | — | 31% | not on both |
| BJP | 13.5% | 13.5% | — | not on both |
| Bharatiya Janata Party | 10% | — | 10% | not on both |
| Shiromani Akali Dal | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| SAD | 0.6% | 0.6% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Election Commission of India](https://results.eci.gov.in/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/who-will-win-the-2027-punjab-assembly-election
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/punjab-legislative-assembly-election-winner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpunjabassembly?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/who-will-win-the-2027-punjab-assembly-election

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.