# Will a single person become TIME's 2026 Person of the Year?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will a single person become TIME's 2026 Person of the Year?". Yes leads at 88%. $1K has traded across 1 outcome on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-12T03:22:05Z (10 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Feb 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Yes | 88% | 88% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [time.com](https://time.com/).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a single human individual is named TIME's Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If multiple people, an organization, a group, an idea or an object is named TIME's 2026 Person of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason the 2026 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on TIME's cover. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-a-single-person-become-times-2026-person-of-the-year
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-single-person-become-times-2026-person-of-the-year?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-a-single-person-become-times-2026-person-of-the-year

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.