# Will California Proposition 42 receive more “Yes” votes than Proposition 40?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will California Proposition 42 receive more “Yes” votes than Proposition 40?". Yes leads at 99%. $2K has traded across 1 outcome on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 11, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:14:00Z (5 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 11, 2026
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Yes | 99% | 99% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [California Secretary of State](https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-california-proposition-42-receive-more-yes-votes-than-proposition-40
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcaprop42v40?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-california-proposition-42-receive-more-yes-votes-than-proposition-40

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.