# Will Chris Van Hollen announce a presidential run?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will Chris Van Hollen announce a presidential run?". Before Jan 1, 2028 leads at 48%. Next is Before Jul 1, 2027 at 46%. $2K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-10T00:26:20Z (7 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2028
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 48% | 48% |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 46% | 46% |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | 46% | 46% |
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | 42% | 42% |
| Before May 1, 2027 | 38% | 38% |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 31.5% | 31.5% |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 24% | 24% |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 20% | 20% |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 2% | 2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ABC](https://abcnews.go.com/), [Fox News](https://www.foxnews.com/), [MSNBC](https://www.msnbc.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-chris-van-hollen-announce-a-presidential-run
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenrun?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-chris-van-hollen-announce-a-presidential-run

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.