# Will insani leave MIBR before 2027?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will insani leave MIBR before 2027?". Yes leads at 53%. $1K has traded across 1 outcome on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T01:10:00Z (10 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Yes | 53% | 53% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [hltv.org](https://www.hltv.org/team/9215/mibr).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if insani leaves MIBR's active Counter-Strike 2 lineup between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, insani is considered to have "left" if he is no longer listed with the status "Starter" in the "Players of MIBR" table on HLTV (https://www.hltv.org/team/9215/mibr). This includes a transfer to another team, release, benching to inactive or reserve status, loan to another team, retirement, or any other departure from the active lineup. As of market creation, insani is listed as a Starter for MIBR.

A qualifying change must occur within this market's timeframe and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain in effect for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted before 48 hours have elapsed, it will not count toward resolution.

An official announcement within this market's timeframe by MIBR or insani that insani has left, or will leave, MIBR's active lineup will also resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the departure takes effect.

A name change or alias referring to the same player does not count as leaving. A temporary absence for a single match or event, while insani remains listed as a Starter, does not count. If MIBR disbands or releases its entire Counter-Strike 2 roster within this market's timeframe, this will count as insani leaving.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-insani-leave-mibr-before-2027
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-insani-leave-mibr-before-2027?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-insani-leave-mibr-before-2027

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.