# Will Jensen Huang found a new company by December 31, 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will Jensen Huang found a new company by December 31, 2026?". Yes leads at 9.5%. $3K has traded across 1 outcome on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-12T21:53:25Z (10 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $3K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: ai_tech

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Yes | 9.5% | 9.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jensen Huang publicly announces that he has founded, or will found, a new company between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must identify Jensen Huang as a founder or co-founder of the new company and must either name the company or state definitively that Jensen Huang has founded or will found it (e.g., “I have started a new company,” “I will be launching a new company”). Statements that Jensen Huang is considering, exploring, hoping, planning or in discussions to found a company, or that he may or might do so, will not qualify, nor will third-party reports of such plans. The announcement may come from Jensen Huang (including his verified social media accounts and authorized representatives) or from the new company, including via press release or on-the-record interview. The company need not be incorporated or operating by the resolution date.

Companies publicly announced before this market was created will not qualify. Subsidiaries, spin-offs, joint ventures and other entities created, owned or controlled by NVIDIA will not qualify. Charitable foundations, nonprofit organizations, family offices and personal holding or investment vehicles will not qualify. Investments in, board seats at, or advisory roles with companies founded by others will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jensen Huang or the new company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-jensen-huang-found-a-new-company-by-december-31-2026
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jensen-huang-found-a-new-company-by-december-31-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-jensen-huang-found-a-new-company-by-december-31-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.