# Will Josh Shapiro announce a presidential run?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will Josh Shapiro announce a presidential run?". Before Oct 1, 2027 leads at 81%. Next is Before Jul 1, 2027 at 63%. $1K has traded across 7 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-06T21:58:03Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Oct 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | 81% | 81% |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 63% | 63% |
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | 62% | 62% |
| Before May 1, 2027 | 54% | 54% |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 43% | 43% |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 35% | 35% |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 11% | 11% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ABC](https://abcnews.go.com/), [Fox News](https://www.foxnews.com/), [MSNBC](https://www.msnbc.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-josh-shapiro-announce-a-presidential-run
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxshapirorun?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-josh-shapiro-announce-a-presidential-run

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.