# Will Legacy Make a Roster Change by December 31?: prediction market odds

> Final prediction market prices for "Will Legacy Make a Roster Change by December 31?". $1K has traded across 0 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Jan 1, 2027.

- Status: Trading has ended; prices are final
- Prices updated: unknown
- Closed: Jan 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [hltv.org](https://www.hltv.org/team/12468/legacy#tab-rosterBox).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Legacy's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Legacy" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/12468/legacy#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: dumau, latto, n1ssim, arT, try. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-legacy-make-a-roster-change-by-december-31
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-legacy-make-a-roster-change-by-december-31?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-legacy-make-a-roster-change-by-december-31

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.