# Will Mark Kelly announce a presidential run?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will Mark Kelly announce a presidential run?". Before Oct 1, 2027 leads at 79%. Next is Before Jul 1, 2027 at 73%. $1K has traded across 8 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-06T20:23:03Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Oct 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | 79% | 79% |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 73% | 73% |
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | 69% | 69% |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 64% | 64% |
| Before May 1, 2027 | 62% | 62% |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 60% | 60% |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 37% | 37% |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 8% | 8% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ABC](https://abcnews.go.com/), [Fox News](https://www.foxnews.com/), [MSNBC](https://www.msnbc.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-mark-kelly-announce-a-presidential-run
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxkellyrun?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-mark-kelly-announce-a-presidential-run

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.