# Will Mike Johnson announce he is leaving the House?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will Mike Johnson announce he is leaving the House?". Before Jan 1, 2028 leads at 74%. Next is Before Apr 1, 2027 at 64%. $2K has traded across 4 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-12T03:19:05Z (13 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2028
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 74% | 74% |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 64% | 64% |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 60% | 60% |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 58% | 58% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Mike Johnson](https://x.com/SpeakerJohnson), [The Wall Street Journal](https://www.wsj.com/), [Bloomberg News](https://www.bloomberg.com/news).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-mike-johnson-announce-he-is-leaving-the-house
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmjohnsonannounceout?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-mike-johnson-announce-he-is-leaving-the-house

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.