# Will Pennsylvania formally begin leaving PJM?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will Pennsylvania formally begin leaving PJM?". Before Jul 1, 2027 leads at 19%. Next is Before Jan 1, 2027 at 6%. $1K has traded across 2 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T02:48:40Z (11 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jul 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 19% | 19% |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 6% | 6% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [The Washington Post](https://www.washingtonpost.com/), [Fox News](https://www.foxnews.com/), [The Wall Street Journal](https://www.wsj.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-pennsylvania-formally-begin-leaving-pjm
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpapjm?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-pennsylvania-formally-begin-leaving-pjm

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.