# Will Sneako be deported in 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will Sneako be deported in 2026?". Yes leads at 2.4%. $2K has traded across 1 outcome on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:55:00Z (2 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Yes | 2.4% | 2.4% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.

The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-sneako-be-deported-in-2026
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-sneako-be-deported-in-2026-20260807154140938?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-sneako-be-deported-in-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.