# Will the American Affordability and Jobs Act become law?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will the American Affordability and Jobs Act become law?". Before Mar 1, 2027 leads at 51%. Next is Before Jan 1, 2027 at 37%. $1K has traded across 2 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Mar 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:22:00Z (2 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Mar 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 51% | 51% |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 37% | 37% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Library of Congress](https://congress.gov).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-the-american-affordability-and-jobs-act-become-law
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpermitbill?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-the-american-affordability-and-jobs-act-become-law

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.