# Will the federal minimum wage be raised?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will the federal minimum wage be raised?". Before 2030 leads at 45%. Next is Before 2029 at 29%. $1K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2030.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T14:18:55Z (11 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2030
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before 2030 | 45% | 45% |
| Before 2029 | 29% | 29% |
| Before 2028 | 19% | 19% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Library of Congress](https://www.congress.gov).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-the-federal-minimum-wage-be-raised
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxminwage?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-the-federal-minimum-wage-be-raised

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.