# Will the filibuster be abolished?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will the filibuster be abolished?". Before Jan 1, 2030 leads at 29%. Next is Before Jan 1, 2029 at 18%. $1K has traded across 5 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2030.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T05:18:41Z (16 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2030
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before Jan 1, 2030 | 29% | 29% |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 18% | 18% |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 12% | 12% |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 9% | 9% |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 2% | 2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [U.S. Senate](https://www.senate.gov/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-the-filibuster-be-abolished
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfbusterabolish?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-the-filibuster-be-abolished

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.