# Will the House vote on a resolution to expel Ilhan Omar?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will the House vote on a resolution to expel Ilhan Omar?". Before Jul 1, 2027 leads at 41%. Next is Before Jan 1, 2027 at 19%. $4K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:09:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jul 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 41% | 41% |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 19% | 19% |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 16% | 16% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [United States House of Representatives](https://clerk.house.gov/Votes), [Congressional Record](https://www.congress.gov/congressional-record).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-the-house-vote-on-a-resolution-to-expel-ilhan-omar
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteomarexpel?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-the-house-vote-on-a-resolution-to-expel-ilhan-omar

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.