# Will the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth?". Before Jan 1, 2027 leads at 55%. Next is Before Nov 21, 2026 at 48%. $24K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:07:00Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $24K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 55% | 55% |
| Before Nov 21, 2026 | 48% | 48% |
| Before Nov 14, 2026 | 32% | 32% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [United States House of Representatives](https://clerk.house.gov/Votes), [Congressional Record](https://www.congress.gov/congressional-record).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-the-house-vote-on-impeaching-pete-hegseth
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotehegsethimpeach?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-the-house-vote-on-impeaching-pete-hegseth

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.