# Will the Senate begin an impeachment trial of Pete Hegseth?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will the Senate begin an impeachment trial of Pete Hegseth?". Before Jul 1, 2027 leads at 56%. Next is Before Apr 1, 2027 at 44.5%. $2K has traded across 4 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T01:26:40Z (5 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jul 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 56% | 56% |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 44.5% | 44.5% |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 2% | 2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [The New York Times](https://www.nytimes.com), [the Associated Press](https://apnews.com), [Bloomberg News](https://www.bloomberg.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-the-senate-begin-an-impeachment-trial-of-pete-hegseth
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethtrial?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-the-senate-begin-an-impeachment-trial-of-pete-hegseth

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.