# Will the Senate confirm James Sullivan as a federal judge?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will the Senate confirm James Sullivan as a federal judge?". Before Jan 3, 2027 leads at 89%. $1K has traded across 1 outcome on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T01:15:40Z (2 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before Jan 3, 2027 | 89% | 89% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [U.S. Senate](https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nom_confc.htm).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-the-senate-confirm-james-sullivan-as-a-federal-judge
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsullivanjudgeconf?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-the-senate-confirm-james-sullivan-as-a-federal-judge

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.