# Will the Treasury announce sanctions on a Chinese bank?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will the Treasury announce sanctions on a Chinese bank?". Before Apr 1, 2027 leads at 22%. Next is Before Jan 1, 2027 at 19%. $1K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Apr 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T19:34:00Z (6 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Apr 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 22% | 22% |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 19% | 19% |
| Before Nov 11, 2026 | 3% | 3% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [the U.S. Department of the Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control](https://ofac.treasury.gov/specially-designated-nationals-and-blocked-persons-list-sdn-human-readable-lists), [the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network](https://www.fincen.gov/resources/statutes-and-regulations/311-and-9714-special-measures).

## Settlement rules

Kalshi event status: open

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-the-treasury-announce-sanctions-on-a-chinese-bank
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxchinabanksanc?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-the-treasury-announce-sanctions-on-a-chinese-bank

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.