# Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?". Before Jan 20, 2029 leads at 47%. Next is Before Jan 1, 2028 at 34%. $1K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 20, 2029.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T19:42:31Z (19 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 20, 2029
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before Jan 20, 2029 | 47% | 47% |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 34% | 34% |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 6% | 6% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [The Financial Times](https://www.ft.com), [The Information](https://www.theinformation.com), [MSNBC](https://www.msnbc.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-the-us-take-at-least-1-stakes-in-both-openai-and-anthropic
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxusopenaianth?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-the-us-take-at-least-1-stakes-in-both-openai-and-anthropic

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.