# Will Trump and Xi kiss at APEC?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will Trump and Xi kiss at APEC?". Yes leads at 0.6%. $1K has traded across 1 outcome on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-11T15:43:05Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 1, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Yes | 0.6% | 0.6% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China to attend the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting in Shenzhen on November 18-19, 2026, where he is expected to meet Xi Jinping.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this visit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released during the calendar days (China Standard Time) of the visit to qualify.

A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify.

For the purposes of this market, the visit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China and ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.

This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (China Standard Time) that Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the visit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-trump-and-xi-kiss-at-apec
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-and-xi-kiss-at-apec?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-trump-and-xi-kiss-at-apec

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.