# Will Trump issue a blanket pardon for administration staff?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will Trump issue a blanket pardon for administration staff?". Before Jan 21, 2029 leads at 78%. Next is Before Jan 1, 2028 at 36%. $10K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 21, 2029.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:05:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 21, 2029
- Volume traded: $10K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before Jan 21, 2029 | 78% | 78% |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 36% | 36% |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 16% | 16% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [White House](https://www.whitehouse.gov/), [Office of the Pardon Attorney](https://www.justice.gov/pardon).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-trump-issue-a-blanket-pardon-for-administration-staff
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstaffpardon?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-trump-issue-a-blanket-pardon-for-administration-staff

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.