# Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?". Before Jan 1, 2027 leads at 30%. Next is Yes at 19.5%. $193K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T19:42:00Z (4 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $193K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 30% | — | 30% | not on both |
| Yes | 19.5% | 19.5% | — | not on both |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 18% | — | 18% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [The Washington Post](https://www.washingtonpost.com/), [The White House](https://www.whitehouse.gov), [Associated Press](https://apnews.com).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Flávio Bolsonaro between October 27, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-trump-meet-with-flávio-bolsonaro-in-2026
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-meet-with-flavio-bolsonaro-in-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpflaviomeet?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-trump-meet-with-flávio-bolsonaro-in-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.