# Will Trump visit the Pentagon again?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will Trump visit the Pentagon again?". Before Jul 1, 2027 leads at 33.5%. Next is Before Jan 1, 2027 at 26%. $7K has traded across 4 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:07:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jul 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $7K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 33.5% | — | 33.5% | not on both |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 26% | — | 26% | not on both |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 10% | — | 10% | not on both |
| Yes | 3.7% | 3.7% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [twitter.com](https://twitter.com/POTUS).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [The Guardian](https://www.theguardian.com), [official social media accounts of Donald Trump or their official representatives](https://x.com/POTUS), [official government sources of the United States Department of War](https://www.war.gov/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-trump-visit-the-pentagon-again
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-visit-gaza-in-2026-20260731223105589?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpvisitpentagon?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-trump-visit-the-pentagon-again

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.
